Cash Levels High, Investors Still Skeptical: Bullish Indicator?
Posted on July 1st, 2009 in Stock Trading | No Comments »
David I. Templeton submits:
As noted in some of my prior blog posts, I frequently review various sentiment indicators. At extreme levels, these indicators can highlight turning points in the market. In addition to investor bullish versus bearish sentiment, another indicator gaining quite a bit of attention lately is investor cash levels. I noted in a post over the weekend that money market fund assets remain at a fairly high level.
The American Association of Individual Investors ((AAII)) surveys its members on a monthly basis regarding investor asset allocation. These investors indicated they had 42% of their investments allocated to cash in December 2008. In the most recent survey (May 2009) investors indicated they had 35% of assets invested in the cash portion of their allocation. AAII’s asset allocation survey goes back to 1987 and the average cash level since the survey began is 25%. Investors continue to be overweight cash versus the historical average.
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